READ: EXIT POLLS: Counting day may puzzle pollsters in J&K
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AGENCY
NEW DELHI: The Bharatiya Janata Party may fall short of majority in the Jharkhand assembly polls, with the party projected to win within a range of 29-35 seats out of a total of 81, says an India TV-CVoter tracking poll telecast this evening.
In the crucial state of Jammu and Kashmir, the opposition People’s Democratic Party is projected to emerge as the single largest party followed by BJP.
PDP is projected to get 27-33 seats, followed by BJP with 23-29, National Conference 10-16, Congress 6-12, and ‘Others’ 6-12 seats in a House of 87.
In the 2009 elections, National Conference had won 28, Congress 17, PDP 21, BJP 11 and ‘Others’ 10 seats.
Voting percentage wise, a whopping 22 pc swing has been projected in favour of BJP up from 12 pc in 2009 to 34 pc this time, while a 10 pc swing has been projected in favour of PDP up from 15 pc last time to 25 pc now. National Conference has been projected to get 11 pc votes, Congress 15 pc and ‘Others’ 15 pc votes.
The current opinion poll is based on interviews of 4322 randomly respondents in the first week of November. Long term trends are based upon the cumulative tracking poll data of 12,000+ respondents interviewed during last 12 weeks across all assembly segments in both the poll bound states. The data have been weighted to known census profile and the margin of error is plus/minus 3 pc at state level and plus/minus 5 pc at regional level.
Source : India.com